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Sunday, May 8, 2016

Are We Alone in the Universe? Peter Ward interviewd by Neil deGrasse Tyson

  • Posted 09.28.04
  • NOVA
We Earthlings have seen no credible signs that there are beings elsewhere in the universe that match us in smarts. Yet are there? 
Paleontologist Peter Ward, coauthor of Rare Earth: Why Complex Life is Uncommon in the Universe, points to evidence that intelligent life must be exceedingly rare.
Other scientists, however, think that advanced life is common—Carl Sagan estimated a million intelligent civilizations in our galaxy alone. So NOVA asked astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson to play devil's advocate in a conversation with Ward.

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Neil deGrasse Tyson (left) and Peter Ward square off in a friendly debate. EnlargePhoto credit: © Daniel Deitch (Tyson) / © WGBH Educational Foundation (Ward)

TIME IS OF THE ESSENCE

Neil deGrasse Tyson (NdGT): Peter, when you combine the fossil record on Earth with all that we know of biology and evolution, what can we expect as we look for intelligence elsewhere in the cosmos?

Peter Ward (PW): There are maybe 30 million species on the planet today—10 to 30 million. If we look at the fossils, there are hundreds of millions of species in the past. And one time on Earth has intelligence arisen to the point where we can build a radio telescope (which is the definition of intelligence to a radio astronomer). One time out of hundreds of millions of possibilities. That's an astronomically small number of intelligences that have arisen—just one.

NdGT: At last tally, there are several hundred billion stars in the Milky Way galaxy and perhaps 100 billion galaxies in the universe. Yet according to your book, we're just cold, dark, and alone.

PW: No, we're not alone; we're lonely. There's a big difference between being alone and being lonesome.

How Rare Is the Earth? Peter Ward interviewed by Lauren Aguirre


  • Posted 10.21.11
  • NOVA
What are the chances that there are many other planets in the universe as hospitable to intelligent life as ours? Peter Ward, a paleontologist at the University of Washington and coauthor (with Don Brownlee) of Rare Earth: Why Complex Life is Uncommon in the Universe, argues that while simple life-forms like extremophiles can exist in harsh conditions, complex life requires much more benign and stable conditions. As a result, Ward believes that we are effectively alone in the universe.

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Peter Ward is a paleontologist and professor of Biology and of Earth and Space Sciences at the University of Washington. He is the author of many popular works, including more than a dozen books. Ward is currently researching the nature of the Cretaceous-Tertiary extinction event. EnlargePhoto credit: Courtesy Peter Ward/NASA

Interview of Peter Ward conducted in September 2011 and edited by Lauren Aguirre, Director of New Media for NOVA

ALONE OR JUST LONELY?

NOVA: What first got you thinking about the possible existence of alien intelligence?

Peter Ward: Well, who isn't, actually? I mean, what person really isn't thinking at least about ourselves and our aloneness or not? We are so immersed in aliens, you can't get away from it. I would say that the top four of the 10 greatest box office hits of all time were dealing with alien life in some way or another. And somewhere along the line you have to start asking yourself, well, what are the chances?

Saturday, May 7, 2016

Benjamin Radford -- Crop Circle Was a Publicity Stunt: Why'Experts' Were Fooled


By Benjamin Radford, Live Science Contributor | January 7, 2014 10:23am ET


A mysterious 310-foot-diameter crop circle that appeared in a farmer's barley field in Chualar, Calif., was not alien made; rather it was a marketing stunt promoting Nvidia's new Tegra K1 processing chip.

Credit: Screengrab via YouTube/Nvidia video

A mysterious 310-foot-diameter crop circle that appeared in a farmer's barley field in Chualar, Calif., as 2013 ended puzzled the public for more than a week. Echoing the sentiments of many, the field's owner told CNN, "To be that intricate in design, it kind of baffles me as to how that was done."Videos and photos of it went viral, and though some dismissed the crop circle as a hoax, others weren't so sure. Some crop-circle experts wrote in-depth analyses that claimed to cleverly decode hidden meanings in the pattern, including that a bright comet would appear in the sky later this year.

It remained a mystery until Sunday night (Jan. 5), when at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, the real circle makers stepped forward: a marketing team hired by computer-graphics company Nvidia. The "crop circle" was not an astronomical calendar forewarning of an impending comet, but instead a drawing of the company's new Tegra K1 processing chip. A small team of British crop-circle artists created the complex pattern expertly and without detection. It was a great publicity stunt, and one that left many people wondering how experts could have been fooled.

Why do people fall for such obvious hoaxes? Part of the answer is that the human brain is hardwired to seek meaning, even when there is no meaning to be found. In psychology, the tendency for the mind to find coincidences, patterns and connections in random data is called apophenia. In statistics, there is even a name for this type of fallacy: a Type I error. A common example of a Type I error is a false positive result on a medical test. [In Photos: Mysterious Crop Circles]

Friday, May 6, 2016

Benjamin Radford -- Crop Circles Explained

 Crop Circles Explained

By Benjamin Radford, Live Science Contributor | January 23, 2013 05:34pm ET

  • According to some estimates, crop circles appear every week somewhere around the world. The strange circles and patterns appear mysteriously overnight in farmers' fields, provoking puzzlement, delight, and intrigue for both locals and the news media. The circles are mostly found in the United Kingdom, but have spread to dozens of countries around the world in past decades. But who — or what — is making them?

This massive 780-foot (238 meters) crop circle appeared in 2001 in the remote area of Milk Hill in Wiltshire, England. The elaborate design is composed of 409 circles that form a pattern called a double, or six-sided, triskelion, which is a motif consisting of three interlocking spirals.
Credit: Handy Marks public domain

Early claims of crop circles

Many people believe that crop circles have been reported for centuries, a claim repeated in many books and websites devoted to the mystery. Their primary piece of evidence is a woodcut from 1678 that appears to show a field of oat stalks laid out in a circle. Some take this to be a first-hand eyewitness account of a crop circle, but a little historical investigation shows otherwise.


A woodcut pamphlet that some claim represents an early crop circle.

The woodcut was actually used to illustrate what in folklore is called a "mowing devil" legend, in which an English farmer told a worker with whom he was feuding that he "would rather pay the Devil himself" to cut his oat field than pay the fee demanded. The source of the harvesting is not unknown or mysterious — it is indeed Satan himself, who can be seen in the woodcut holding a scythe. According to the original text of the legend, the devil "cut them in round circles, and plac't every straw with that exactness that it would have taken up above an Age for any Man to perform what he did that one night." This image and story cannot be related to crop circles because it states explicitly that the crop was cut (i.e., harvested) rather than laid down, as occurs in crop circles.

Some claim that the first crop circles (though they were not called that at the time) appeared near the small town of Tully, Australia. In 1966 a farmer said he saw a flying saucer rise up from a swampy area and fly away; when he went to investigate he saw a roughly circular area of debris and apparently flattened reeds and grass, which he assumed had been made by the alien spacecraft (but which police investigators said was likely caused by a natural phenomena such as a dust devil or waterspout). Referred in the press as "flying saucer nests," this story is more a UFO report than a crop circle report.

As in the 1678 mowing devil legend, the case for it being linked to crop circles is especially weak when we consider that the impression or formation was not made in a crop of any kind but instead in ordinary grass. A round impression in a lawn or grassy area is not necessarily mysterious (as anyone with a kiddie pool in the back yard knows). Indeed, mysterious circles have appeared in grass throughout the world that are sometimes attributed to fairies but instead caused by disease.

In fact the first real crop circles didn't appear until the 1970s, when simple circles began appearing in the English countryside. The number and complexity of the circles increased dramatically, reaching a peak in the 1980s and 1990s when increasingly elaborate circles were produced, including those illustrating complex mathematical equations such as fractals. [Image Album: Mysterious Crop Circles Gallery]


People inspect crop circles within a golden wheat field in Switzerland. The photo was taken on July 29, 2007.
Credit: Jabberocky public domain

Theories & explanations

Unlike other mysterious phenomenon such as psychic powers, ghosts, or Bigfoot, there is no doubt that crop circles are "real." The evidence that they exist is clear and overwhelming. The real question is what creates them.  

Crop circle enthusiasts have come up with many theories about what creates the patterns, ranging from the plausible to the absurd. One explanation in vogue in the early 1980s was that the mysterious circle patterns were accidentally produced by the especially vigorous sexual activity of horny hedgehogs. Some people have suggested that the circles are somehow created by incredibly localized and precise wind patterns, or by scientifically undetectable Earth energy fields and meridians called ley lines.

Many who favor an extraterrestrial explanation claim that aliens physically make the patterns themselves from spaceships; others suggest that they do it using invisible energy beams from space, saving them the trip down here. Still others believe that it is human, not extraterrestrial, thought and intelligence that is behind the patterns — not in the form of hoaxers but some sort of global psychic power that manifests itself in wheat and other crops.

While there are countless theories, the only known, proven cause of crop circles is humans. Their origin remained a mystery until September 1991, when two men confessed that they had created the patterns for decades as a prank to make people think UFOs had landed (they had been inspired by the 1966 Tully UFO report). They never claimed to have made all the circles — many were copycat pranks done by others — but their hoax launched the crop circle phenomena.


Another triskelion crop circle. The symbol can be used to represent cycles, progress or competition.

Credit: Thomas J. Sutter, Jr. public domain

Most crop circle researchers admit that the vast majority of crop circles are created by hoaxers. But, they claim, there's a remaining tiny percentage that they can't explain. The real problem is that (despite unproven claims by a few researchers that stalks found inside "real" crop circles show unusual characteristics), there is no reliable scientific way to distinguish "real" crop circles from man-made ones. [Related: Crop-Circle Artists Becoming High Tech]

Crop circle features

While there are exceptions, virtually all crop circles share a set of common characteristics.

Circles. Crop circles, as the name implies, almost always involve circles — rarely triangles, rectangles, or squares, though some designs contain straight or curved lines.  Perhaps not coincidentally, a circle is the easiest pattern for hoaxers to create.

Nocturnal creation. Crop circles are formed overnight, often sighted by farmers or passersby the next morning. Though there seems no logical reason for extraterrestrials or earth energies to only create patterns at night, it is obviously a great advantage for hoaxers to create the designs under the cover of darkness; full moon nights are especially popular.

Camera shyness. Crop circles have never been recorded being made (except, of course, for those created by hoaxers). This is a very suspicious trait; after all, if mysterious earthly forces are at work, there's no reason to think that they wouldn't happen when cameras are recording. The same thing is true with other explanations including alien spacecraft; the only things ever caught on camera making the circles are hoaxers.


This design of three flying birds was created on Aug. 3, 2003, in the county of Wiltshire in southern England. The birds, which resemble swallows, have ever-diminishing circles trailing behind their wing tips.

Credit: public domain

No obvious human trace. Most crop circles show little or no signs of human contact. While many people consider this very mysterious, in fact it's quite logical: Hoaxers who devote the time and effort required to design and create the (often complex) crop circles are unlikely to carelessly leave obvious signs of their activities.

Access to roads. Crop circles usually appear in fields that provide reasonably easy public access, close to roads and highways. They rarely appear in remote, inaccessible areas. Because of this, the patterns are usually noticed within a day or two of their creation by passing motorists.

There are many theories about what creates crop circles, from aliens to mysterious vortices to wind patterns, but they all lack one important element: good evidence. Perhaps one day a mysterious, unknown source will be discovered for crop circles, but until then perhaps they are best thought of as collective public art.

Benjamin Radford is deputy editor of "Skeptical Inquirer" science magazine and author of six books including "Scientific Paranormal Investigation: How to Solve Unexplained Mysteries." His website is www.BenjaminRadford.com.


PORTUGUÊS - JEREMY THOMAS TUTORIAL (COMPLETO)

JEREMY THOMAS TUTORIAL





TRÊS PASSOS FUNDAMENTAIS 
PARA EFECTUAR A
 OBSERVAÇÃO SISTEMÁTICA DE ANOMALÍAS
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q9ieCYiJvg4


0.00 - Três passos chave para observar anomalías

0.07 –Os três quesitos fundamentais e necessários, para ser capaz de observar sistematicamente as anomalias são:

1- A localização através de Infravermelhos.

2 – Uma ampliação óptica elevada para ser capaz de resolver/descrever um objecto distante em todos os seus detalhes 

3 – Sinalização directa activa.

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

JEREMY THOMAS -- CASTELLANO -- Las Anomalías y la Nueva Física.


Jeremy Thomas --Las Anomalías y la Nueva Física.



04:16:2016
Las Anomalías y la Nueva Física.

0.07 La realidad de las anomalías no sólo es en términos generales un gran descubrimiento para la ciencia. Esta realidad se encuentra en contraposición directa con muchas ideas actualmente aceptadas por la Ciencia Oficial y pondrá en duda muchas otras. La Ciencia Oficial debería prepararse para una importante revisión general de su filosofía, métodos y paradigmas, que es la única manera de hacer frente a su incapacidad para hacer frente a esta realidad y al rechazo continuo de esta por sus mentes "más brillantes". Esta realidad muestra claramente el fracaso general del actual "sistema de conocimiento", que debe ser aclarado también.

0.48 Pero en términos más concretos sólo los datos de observación disponibles con los escasos recursos de los observadores contemporáneos muestran claramente que algunas anomalías están utilizando "mecanismos" en su geometría dinámica y de locomoción que son muy difíciles de explicar desde los actuales paradigmas de la física, que implican una “nueva física” y algo que debería ser de gran interés para los físicos o por lo menos para los ingenieros. Algunos ejemplos muestran la fuerte posibilidad de una nueva física.

2.24 Nosotros también sabemos que una mentalidad de “descrédito” está profundamente arraigada en casi todos los científicos y académicos actuales, pero esto es sólo una parte intrínseca del problema actual. Esa forma de pensar tiene que ser modificada o de otro modo el fracaso actual frente a la realidad de las anomalías será una situación recurrente en el futuro como ya lo ha sido en el pasado por ejemplo el fracaso para hacer frente a la realidad de los meteoritos. Sin embargo la dimensión de la realidad de las anomalías demuestra que esto no solamente se trata de una pequeña deficiencia en el pensamiento científico actual.


Traductora: Maya Benmergui
Email: mayabenmergui@gmail.com




Sunday, April 17, 2016

JEREMY THOMAS -- ROMÎNA -- ESTE FOARTE USOR DE ÎNSELAT FIINTELE OMENESTI


Jeremy Thomas -- ESTE FOARTE USOR DE ÎNSELAT FIINTELE OMENESTI



15: 04: 2016
ESTE FOARTE USOR DE ÎNSELAT FIINTELE OMENESTI
Daca ar exista cîteva artefacte mecanice acolo afara, fara a fi de origine omeneasca, atunci ar fi pazite de a fi descoperite, doar daca ai pune sub ele, ceva semanator cu o sfoara.
Nu are importanta ce poate sa faca partea superioara: sa straluceasca, sa-si schimbe forma, sa elibereze alte obiecte/dronuri, etc. Datorita acestui "truc" simplu, vor fi întotdeauna greu de descoperit de observatorii omenesti.
Chiar daca cîtiva observatori omenesti îi descopera, chiar si asa, camuflarea va fi eficace, pentru ca aceste fiinte omenesti, care au constatat acest lucru, vor fi segregati de aproape toate celelelte fiinte omenesti, deoarce, pentru aproape toate fiintele omenesti, artefacte vor fi considerate baloane, datorita trucului simplu de a adauga ceva asemenator unei sfori, dedesubtul lor.
Asemenea artefacte nu vor avea dificultati sa înteleaga cît este de usor sa înseli fiintele omenesti.
Vor exista cîteva relatari "nebune" despre OZN-uri, care se aseamana cu baloanele? Nu are importanta daca aceste relatari exista, pentru ca "stim" ca asemenea relatari pot fi puse deoparte. Suntem prea inteligenti, ca sa ne lasam înselati de "baloane".


"Este mai usor sa înseli persoanele, decît sa le convingi ca au fost înselate." - Mark Twain
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